Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.473809 0.521714 0.573173 0.632694 0.699804 0.773315 0.860183
2025-10-05 0.403040 0.470900 0.549203 0.646824 0.766076 0.908048 1.091409
2025-10-12 0.361296 0.439085 0.533262 0.656868 0.816589 1.018450 1.296794
2025-10-19 0.329209 0.412685 0.517671 0.661292 0.855612 1.113741 1.490051
2025-10-26 0.303788 0.390879 0.504003 0.664355 0.890165 1.203609 1.683994
2025-11-02 0.284197 0.374183 0.494462 0.670481 0.927529 1.299069 1.895774
2025-11-09 0.261016 0.350273 0.472453 0.656112 0.932722 1.346691 2.039231
2025-11-16 0.247376 0.338236 0.465567 0.662139 0.967520 1.440984 2.267049
2025-11-23 0.232267 0.322792 0.452287 0.656956 0.983812 1.506936 2.455279
2025-11-30 0.221301 0.312442 0.445446 0.660561 1.013595 1.596826 2.695867
2025-12-07 0.208264 0.298058 0.431378 0.651372 1.021156 1.649471 2.875285
2025-12-14 0.196624 0.284985 0.418312 0.642512 1.028013 1.700873 3.058404
2025-12-21 0.182185 0.266942 0.396622 0.618281 1.007023 1.701749 3.145775
2025-12-28 0.177142 0.263219 0.397306 0.631431 1.052825 1.829793 3.510440
2026-01-04 0.171796 0.258627 0.396178 0.641205 1.093190 1.951825 3.882231
2026-01-11 0.165788 0.252573 0.392181 0.645502 1.123569 2.057528 4.235596
2026-01-18 0.159992 0.246501 0.387709 0.648477 1.151495 2.161194 4.601901
2026-01-25 0.155147 0.241705 0.385047 0.654428 1.185592 2.281388 5.029191
2026-02-01 0.147247 0.231357 0.372195 0.640470 1.178546 2.312644 5.240187
2026-02-08 0.143155 0.227250 0.369966 0.646325 1.212302 2.437157 5.715399
2026-02-15 0.137609 0.220353 0.362382 0.641290 1.222798 2.510320 6.066815
2026-02-22 0.133721 0.216129 0.359319 0.644792 1.251653 2.629265 6.569719
2026-03-01 0.128252 0.208862 0.350327 0.635866 1.252625 2.681927 6.891239